Uncertainties of climate change
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Induced Climate Change Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Induced Climate Change
...............................................................................................................................iii Uncertainties Related to Observational Evidence and Data Analysis .............................iii Uncertainties Related to Climate Models and Other Issues ............................................iii Possible Areas for Further Work .................................
متن کاملConstraining Uncertainties in Climate Models Using Climate Change Detection Techniques
Different atmosphere-ocean general circulation models produce significantly different projections of climate change in response to increases in greenhouse gases and aerosol concentrations in the atmosphere. The main reasons for this disagreement are differences in the sensitivities of the models to external radiative forcing and differences in their rates of heat uptake by the deep ocean. In th...
متن کاملNiches, models, and climate change: assessing the assumptions and uncertainties.
As the rate and magnitude of climate change accelerate, understanding the consequences becomes increasingly important. Species distribution models (SDMs) based on current ecological niche constraints are used to project future species distributions. These models contain assumptions that add to the uncertainty in model projections stemming from the structure of the models, the algorithms used to...
متن کاملMethods and uncertainties in bioclimatic envelope modelling under climate change
Potential impacts of projected climate change on biodiversity are often assessed using single-species bioclimatic ‘envelope’ models. Such models are a special case of species distribution models in which the current geographical distribution of species is related to climatic variables so to enable projections of distributions under future climate change scenarios. This work reviews a number of ...
متن کاملPROJECTIONS AND UNCERTAINTIES ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE IN AN ERA OF MINIMAL CLIMATE POLICIES By
Climate change remains one of the major international environmental challenges facing nations. Yet nations have to date taken minimal policies to slow climate change. Moreover, there has been no major improvement in emissions trends as of the latest data. The current study uses the updated DICE model to present new projections and the impacts of alternative climate policies. It also presents a ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Nature
سال: 1992
ISSN: 0028-0836,1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/355197a0